Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001222 1.378550e-03 0.001536 0.001705 0.001882 0.002061 0.002255
2025-08-03 0.001000 1.226325e-03 0.001461 0.001721 0.001999 0.002286 0.002602
2025-08-10 0.000765 1.034990e-03 0.001325 0.001655 0.002016 0.002394 0.002818
2025-08-17 0.000602 9.036334e-04 0.001240 0.001632 0.002070 0.002536 0.003065
2025-08-24 0.000432 7.458878e-04 0.001111 0.001551 0.002051 0.002591 0.003212
2025-08-31 0.000330 6.553132e-04 0.001051 0.001539 0.002103 0.002721 0.003436
2025-09-07 0.000261 5.968931e-04 0.001023 0.001559 0.002188 0.002884 0.003695
2025-09-14 0.000180 5.098932e-04 0.000952 0.001523 0.002205 0.002966 0.003860
2025-09-21 0.000137 4.698473e-04 0.000936 0.001550 0.002292 0.003126 0.004110
2025-09-28 0.000114 4.560831e-04 0.000952 0.001615 0.002421 0.003332 0.004411
2025-10-05 0.000076 4.085031e-04 0.000919 0.001616 0.002473 0.003448 0.004609
2025-10-12 0.000053 3.810803e-04 0.000910 0.001646 0.002557 0.003600 0.004846
2025-10-19 0.000029 3.503208e-04 0.000910 0.001704 0.002701 0.003848 0.005224
2025-10-26 0.000005 2.904506e-04 0.000862 0.001701 0.002771 0.004013 0.005511
2025-11-02 NaN 2.044519e-04 0.000761 0.001623 0.002746 0.004066 0.005672
2025-11-09 NaN 1.495499e-04 0.000699 0.001593 0.002778 0.004186 0.005908
2025-11-16 NaN 8.619118e-05 0.000603 0.001507 0.002737 0.004215 0.006038
2025-11-23 NaN 5.505947e-05 0.000559 0.001492 0.002783 0.004348 0.006286
2025-11-30 NaN 3.734563e-05 0.000539 0.001510 0.002871 0.004529 0.006589
2025-12-07 NaN 1.468749e-05 0.000486 0.001474 0.002884 0.004618 0.006784
2025-12-14 NaN 6.976178e-06 0.000474 0.001500 0.002979 0.004806 0.007094
2025-12-21 NaN 4.729454e-06 0.000486 0.001563 0.003123 0.005053 0.007472
2025-12-28 NaN 1.174810e-07 0.000460 0.001563 0.003182 0.005195 0.007725